US repo rates jumped last week: an expected outcome with drivers that suggest future directions

US repo rates for government and other collateral jumped on Thursday with GCF(R) averages of 1.636% for repo backed by US Treasuries, up from 1.45% just two weeks prior. This was no surprise: the only question was when increases would happen. We review the causes of rising repo rates as predictive indicators for what could happen over the next year.
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