In an emailed commentary, Victor Masotti, director of Repo Trading at Clear Street, said that funding markets remain volatile due to a data-dependent Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) meeting and two more meetings looming this year – Canadian year-end, and US year-end.
“Bid/offer on term repo has been wide as there doesn’t seem to be a lot of certainty around the November and December FOMC meetings until we see the next slew of data when we’ll get non-farm payrolls and the unemployment rate this Friday, 10/06/23,” he wrote. “Futures markets are currently pricing in a 50% chance of a hike cumulatively between the November and December FOMC meetings.”