A US Treasury yield curve inversion: with new regulations, this may have nothing to do with recession expectations

US Treasury yield curves are heading towards a possible inversion; that is, long-term rates could soon be paying less than short-term rates. This is not typically what financial markets want to see and has been called a harbinger of a recession. But we’re in a new regulatory environment where the old rules may have changed. We examine UST data and the argument for and against yield curve inversions as a precursor to a recession.
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