BBH: US/China trade war impact on securities lending

President Donald Trump has slapped tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods this year, and Beijing has retaliated with levies of $110 billion on American products. The IMF’s projections don’t consider Trump’s threat to expand the tariffs to effectively all of the more than $500 billion in goods the U.S. bought from China last year. If the trade war continues, it could take a significant bite out of global growth, according to the Fund. It estimates global output could fall by more than 0.8 percent in 2020 and remain 0.4 percent below its trend line over the long term. This is in a scenario where Trump follows through on all his threats, including global duties on cars. According to IMF models, output could fall by more than 1.6 percent in China and over 0.9 percent in the U.S. next year.

Following this news, we thought it would be a timely opportunity to review the potential impacts of the trade wars on securities lending.

The full blog post is available at

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