BIS: Bank intermediation activity in a low interest rate environment

BIS Working Papers No 807
30 August 2019
by  Michael Brei, Claudio Borio and Leonardo Gambacorta

Focus
This paper examines how the long period of low interest rates has affected the business activities of banks.

Contribution
The new findings draw on data for 113 large international banks headquartered in 14 major advanced economies for the period 1994-2015. The analysis distinguishes between three types of effect on banks from short-term interest rates – on their income, balance sheets and risk exposures. It weighs the possibility of effects that vary with the level of rates. It also filters out the influence of macroeconomic, regulatory and bank-specific factors.

Findings
Low interest rates have prompted banks to shift from interest-generating to fee-generating and trading activities. This has partially offset the fall in banks’ returns on lending (“interest margin”). The shift is stronger for low capitalised banks. Banks have also made moderate changes in the way they fund themselves, preferring deposits over short-term borrowing. In addition, they have responded to new regulation by reducing the riskiness of their assets. At the same time, provisions against losses on lending have fallen, which may indicate that potential problem loans are being repeatedly rolled over (“evergreening”).

PDF full text

Related Posts

Previous Post
Recurrent neural networks “greatly” improve predicting systemic financial crises
Next Post
ISLA’s 11th securities lending market report notes uncertainty and faster pace of regulatory change

Related Posts

Fill out this field
Fill out this field
Please enter a valid email address.

Menu
X

Reset Password

Create an Account